Thursday, May 29, 2014

American Personality Disorder 

Here's a question:

Why does everyone presume that to win at the World Cup, a team must play attractive soccer?  Jeff Carlisle of ESPN offered this post-mortem after the Azerbaijan friendly:
But following Tuesday’s 2-0 win over Azerbaijan, it’s evident that the formation is very much a work in progress. Outside of the first 15 minutes, the U.S. struggled mightily to find the kind of fluidity that they’ll need to escape from the "Group of Death" next month. 
I like Carlisle, but he (and many others) have forgotten that "fluidity" is not a requisite in the formula for success.  Consider the finals of the German Cup (DFB Pokal), the FA Cup (England) and the Champions League: of the 10 goals, more than 6 came from set pieces. Oh, and against Azerbaijan, the USA scored both goals off set pieces... While fluid, flowing soccer can create constant pressure and thus lead to set pieces, route one soccer can produce those situations just about as easily.

It's funny that suddenly the USA writers and fans expect the MNT to look like Spain...four and eight years ago we just hoped for not embarrassing ourselves.  While we have a tremendous team of legitimately world-class players, they certainly aren't Germany's (or Spain's, or Brazil's, or Italy's...) staff.  The USA will not be focused on fluid...nor will they be parking buses.  There's got to be a middle ground and if anyone will find it, it's most likely the coaches involved.  Klinsmann and Co. will be pragmatic and play the odds.  The fans and media should do the same.

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

World Cup Context


Football Is Life?


Copacabana?  Perhaps not....
The long-running tendency of the American mainstream media to reduce Brazil to a simple love of football has to come to an end this summer.  Here are the news headlines on Google after searching for "Brazil politics":

Public pessimism reigns in Brazil as World Cup looms
Sao Paulo's looming water crisis
Brazil bracing for widespread anti-government, World Cup protests

Brazil's World Cup party can't hide the country's tensions


Things aren't great in Brazil, and while the bongos, beaches, bikinis and football may gloss it over, it's time to see the nation for what it is.  Certainly, Brazilians should take pride in their football, and do...but they are also fighting to address much more pressing issues and the spectators of the coming tournament should demand more than tourist video of the countryside set to smooth samba beats; the media should do their job this June and uncover the real Brazil.

ESPN will lead the charge (read about the Bristol Invasion here) and needs to stop shirking journalism for lame regurgitation of the typical presentation of Brazil.  This sort of foolishness needs to stop.  Americans who don't like soccer don't matter anymore.  And this crap isn't likely to convince them to start liking it:
Fernanda asserts: "Most samba steps and the most spectacular football dribbles have the same base. It's all in the hips and in your ability to follow the rhythm." article here
Pretty sure the football-haters aren't going to head out to the sports bars to watch the USMNT play against a bunch of dancers...And, anyway, we've been hearing this junk about Brazil since the 1990 tournament and the first modern-era appearance by the USMNT (thanks Paul Caliguiri!):


Let's give the Brazilian people what they deserve.  If this tournament was an ill-begotten affair, a dereliction of duty by the leaders of that nation, let's hear it.  Let's see the favelas and the corruption.  Let's enjoy the beautiful game as a reminder of what great things we can do, even when the context is lousy; let's enjoy football as a reminder of what Brazil should be, and the World Cup as an event which brings light to dark places, antiseptic to the infection of corruption, ineffective leadership and dysfunctional society.

Ready or not, the tournament is coming to town...let's hope it serves as a harbinger of better times for the nation.  

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Talk About Pressure

Survival

As the club/youth tryout season (thankfully) comes to a close in our part of the world in the greater Philly area, there's a couple of guys knocking it around in Palo Alto who might be able to empathize with the strains of making the cut:

From Klinsi himself on the pressure of surviving a 2 month pre-world cup camp and making the roster of 23 from the preliminary group of 30:
It’s about sustaining two months of camp, being able to be a real team player, being able to put yourself into service for a bigger cause and something that is far, far bigger than you as an individual. It’s about being able to suffer, to sacrifice yourself for that huge, huge event. It’s about not losing your temper, not losing your nerves when it gets tricky, and there will be many tricky moments going into the next two months.
And remember, if you make it out of camp, and earn a spot on the roster of 23 going to Brazil, only 18 are on the team sheet on game day!

So interesting how at the youth level it's all about getting yours/mine...but when you get to the top level, it's almost exclusively about serving the group.  "...put yourself into service..."

Here's Nick Rimando, backup-in-perpetuity to Howard and Guzan:
Another reason I'm here is because I'm a good pro, on and off the field. Jurgen knows what he gets from me, and I'm a good mentor for the younger guys.
No spoiled brat here...this is a guy who knows his role, accepts it, and may have an impact that the wider public may never realize.  Only the team will ever know how much Nick Rimando helps the squad advance in the tournament - and he's so comfortable in his own skin, he's fine with that.  Of course, if he's called upon, he'll be ready to play and won't give the job up without a fight!

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Details

The (Red) Devil's In The Details

Here's a really slick summation of (some of) the areas of decline at Manchester United under David Moyes.  I'm not going to comment on Moyes' job or his firing or anything here...the Mancunians hearing it enough from other sources and frankly, the whys and wherefores of that club hold no interest.  For the younger player, simply, this data show how attention to details in training isn't just coach-speak...it's the difference between the millions of Champions League dollars and being just another team.

It's the data that are interesting (from Ed Valentine at The Economics of Sport):
...in the last three Premier League seasons Manchester United averaged 27.1, 25.8 and 22.3 crosses per game while registering 6.2, 3.9 and 3.7 through-balls per game. The amount of crossing is up to 29.7 per game under the former Everton boss with through-balls down to 1.2 per game. This is due largely to their play pattern under Moyes as he is putting more attention to attacking down the flanks. About 30% of United’s attacking under Sir Alex in his final three seasons occurred down the centre of the park. Under Moyes, this figure has been lowered to 24%, which is currently the lowest percentage in the Premier League.
This season, Man U was serving somewhere from 2.6 to 7.4 more crosses per game than the past three seasons.  Similarly, they served 5 to 2.6 fewer through-balls per match across the same time frame.

They shifted the general location of their attacking play (the vertical third of the field in which a pass enters, or, is played forward within, the final - offensive - lateral third of the field) by 6 percent.

Now, there are many, many other factors for Man U being 30 plus points lower in the table this year versus last year (maybe they have to do with Moyes, maybe they don't...he's certainly not blameless) but in terms of scoring, to win the title and/or have a shot at the 4 Champions League places, a team needs to score, on average, 1.8 goals or more per game for the year.  2.34, according to Valentine, is the average for the past 5 years for the Prem title.

Point being, these are very fine margins.  While 1.8 is about 77% of 2.34, and that's a huge percentage difference, in absolute numbers it's still a very close call.  Especially on a game-by-game basis where you can only score 1, 2, or 3 goals (not 1.8 or 2.34).  6% here, 2.6 fewer through-balls there...one less shot, one less interception...little moments that go relatively unnoticed are often the pivotal moments upon which seasons turn.

Most spectators (indeed most coaches) won't have a clue how many balls their team serves in from wide areas at the end of a match, or how many final third passes were played in one zone versus another, or how many through balls the team played (which is crazy because most teams don't play many).

But in a game where the balance has to be struck so carefully where a shift in only two to five through balls per game can result in Man U sitting 7th (their worst EPL finish in club history)...well, not paying attention to that balance could be costly.

Furthermore, finding the balance is a matter of mathematical acumen...but tailoring it to a given match/opponent and organizing a team to successfully operate within those parameters is the art, the glue that holds what we know together with what we can do.   And as Gareth Bale showed here...what we can do often falls pretty well outside what we know; it's doubtful Ancelotti planned the Real Madrid counter attack game plan around this exact sort of play, in which Bale was later shown to have hit 26 miles an hour as he attacked the goal (skip to the 1.10 mark):

Thursday, May 8, 2014

Liverpool

Where Titles Are Won

Tough week for Liverpool.  Up 3 with 12 minutes to play, only to ship three goals to Crystal Palace and watch the Premiership fade away...

I love Mignolet...but he's the heart of a defense that ranks #9 in the league in goals against.  Crystal Palace, coincidentally, rank #7.  Liverpool have contrived to earn 81 points while conceding 49 goals in 37 games.  Crystal Palace have amassed 44 points with 46 goals against.

Offense can, indeed, get you close.  But defense wins titles.

Chelsea and City gave up 26 (though 37 matches) and 37 (through 37 matches) respectively.  And their goal differentials compared to Liverpool (+50); Chelsea (+43); City (+63) are close enough.

Things have been crazy this year, so Chelsea have a puncher's chance, but City are going to win it, in all likelihood on the basis of a better defense than the challengers...and yet we fetishize those glory-boys up front.  The offense can't be toothless, but neither can it make up for a porous defense.  Look for the Reds to do some serious shopping this summer for the back line...

Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Character and Self-Determination

Club Hopping

Holy S**t, Socrates Was Right!

It's that time of year when I examine the life I'm living, and for a couple weeks, I become a terrible person- grouchy at home, short with my friends, and unsteady in my desire to be a coach who does the right thing.  The conflicts that arise during the tryout season are brutal.  Genuinely wanting the best for a kid, but also for a group, wanting kids to enjoy the game (as opposed to having adults mess it up for them) and all the individual variables that come into play - cost, travel time, other interests, ability level, etc.  Trying to help overwhelmed parents make good choices...I lose my patience and am all too often astounded at the willingness of otherwise bright, caring adults to be sucked in by peer pressure and (deeply flawed) conventional wisdom.  All the while, I feel caught, because there's no way I could possibly pretend to be offering unbiased information!  

And I'm part of the problem...oh, am I part of it.  I pick kids for my teams from other clubs so my team gets better.  I pray my players don't leave so my team remains strong.  I succumb to the pressure of winning so parents think they have done the right thing for their kid, even though I have 30 plus years of research to prove that the win/loss column has NOTHING to do with future success of an athlete or the happiness of an individual.  Easier than actually educating those parents, God knows.  It's enough to make me want to become a damn shepherd.  So it was fortuitous when I came across three items regarding the quality of the person at the center of these decisions.

Interesting bit on NPR recently on the outcomes of college graduates in terms of overall life satisfaction.  Gallup released some numbers that (shockingly) revealed that while we continue to chase what others tell us is valuable, it's those who think just a little more independently who are actually satisfied in their station in life:
The graduate survey released Tuesday suggests the factors that should be guiding college decisions are not selectivity or prestige, but cost of attendance, great teaching and deep learning, in that order...when you ask college graduates whether they're "engaged" with their work or "thriving" in all aspects of their lives, their responses don't vary one bit whether they went to a prestigious college or not.
I know...great teaching is available only at Harvard and Williams.  Just like great coaching is only found at La Maisa and Clairefontaine.  Or great parents are only available at your house.

It's the cost of attendance that catches my eye, as well as the "deep learning."  Sadly, while you can buy your kid's way into a "top" club/team or the snazzy private school, you cannot buy the ability to be a deep learner.  That's called intrinsic motivation, and it's free...if you know how to inspire and nurture it.  Remember the point about quality teachers being a little more available than we might think?  And just what is a parent's role in helping a kid become a deep learner?  Does running across town to the "big" (or "better" or "winning" - all three typically euphemisms for expensive) club offer greater satisfaction?  Send the right message to your kid?  If people thrive whether they went to Harvard or Akron, will club hopping bring profound happiness to your child?

Let's dumb it down a little for folks who might not fully understand the definition of deep learning, and take a nice quote from Mike Rowe's facebook page (hmm...this is good teachable stuff...but he's not on the faculty at Princeton...).  Rowe was contacted by a fan seeking advice on his career...a year spent looking for the right career fruitlessly inspired the guy to ask Mike for help and Mike offered this:
Stop looking for the “right” career, and start looking for a job. Any job. Forget about what you like. Focus on what’s available. Get yourself hired. Show up early. Stay late. Volunteer for the scut work. Become indispensable. You can always quit later, and be no worse off than you are today. But don't waste another year looking for a career that doesn't exist. And most of all, stop worrying about your happiness. Happiness does not come from a job. It comes from knowing what you truly value, and behaving in a way that’s consistent with those beliefs.

Many people today resent the suggestion that they’re in charge of the way the feel. But trust me, Parker. Those people are mistaken. That was a big lesson from Dirty Jobs, and I learned it several hundred times before it stuck. What you do, who you’re with, and how you feel about the world around you, is completely up to you.

Good luck -

Mike
I can only think of folks who chase the next better club/coach/team/record.  That's simply buying superficial success and thinking that satisfaction will result.  You want to be a great player?    "Show up early. Stay late. Volunteer for the scut work. Become indispensable."  Moving a team that "wins" (you know, the prestigious somebody-else's-moneymaker-labor-day-classic) doesn't make you better!  It doesn't set you apart, it only gets you in with other shallow, lazy people who think the result makes the man.  That's so ass-backward it defies belief.  The man makes the result.  Consider this on what sort of person makes up a part of a championship team, from a top collegiate program, written by a coach who has won more titles than anyone you know:
Type of Person
*Emotional maturity, selfless, no ego, no attitude, willing to lead by serving. No matter how talented you are, you first have to be a good teammate, with a spirit of sacrifice, discipline, trust, and respect. Absent those qualities, you can’t play for us. Zero bad apples; we find the right people and don’t burden them with the wrong people for any reason.
People who jump clubs and cave in to adult pressure to justify other's lousy decisions (how misery does love company) by hauling your kid across creation for a game where you wear short pants and chase a ball are failing as parents.  Have you taught your child about "a spirit of sacrifice," selflessness, a willingness "to lead by serving" today?

Or, forget I said anything, and go buy another experience for your kid.  Let's be honest, if moving from club A to club B is of importance to you, in the absence of relocation, a toxic coaching situation, bullying within the team, or some other truly problematic situation, then you're probably raising the sort of character who a top program won't "burden" the "right people" with.  

So good riddance.  

Unless I pick you for my team...and I'll do my best to do my penance for being a big part of the problem.

Monday, May 5, 2014

More Blocking

Blocking II

A quick follow up to the earlier post on blocking...caught the Columbus/SKC match on May 4 and noticed this 34th minute stop.  Great stalking by Clark as Sinovic enters the 18, his posture is low, and compact; when the shot is about to be taken, Clark spreads out like a parachute and there suddenly isn't much for Sinovic to shoot at.  Nice execution.

Great demonstration of "German Style" blocking by Steve Clark of Columbus in a tough 1v1 situation against SKC.

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Soccer Ability

A Great Story

Nico Calabria is a guy who is a source of hope for everyone.  SI offers a nice story on him here, but it's fair to say the videos below pretty well sum up this particular example of making lemonade out of lemons: